THEORETICAL EXPECTATIONS

TRICTHOTOMY FORM

FACTORS CONSIDERED DIRECT AGENTS OF DEFORESTATION

BELIZE

RICA

EL SALVADOR

GUETEMALA

DURAS

RAGUA

MA

TRAL AMERICA

1-- ARABLE AND PERMANENT CROPLAND

S

S

S

S

S

S

2--PERMANENT PASTURE LAND

S

S

S

S

S

S

3--GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

S

S

S

S

S

S

4--TOTAL PAVED ROAD AND RAILROAD LENGTH

S

S

S

S

S

S

5--AGRICULTURAL TRADE BALANCE

S

S

S

S

S

S

6--BOVINE MEAT TRADE BALANCE

S

S

S

S

S

S

7--EXTERNAL DEBT

S

S

S

S

S

S

8--ROUNDWOOD PRODUCTION

S

S

S

S

S

S

9--FUELWOOD AND CHARCOAL PRODUCTION

S

S

S

S

S

S

10--INDUSTRIAL ROUNDWOOD PRODUCTION

S

S

S

S

S

S

11--TOTAL POPULATION

S

S

S

S

S

S

EMPIRICAL FINDINGS

TRICHOTOMY FORM

FACTORS CONSIDERED DIRECT AGENTS OF DEFORESTATION

BELIZE

RICA

EL SALVADOR

GUETEMALA

DURAS

RAGUA

MA

TRAL AMERICA

1-- ARABLE AND PERMANENT CROPLAND

1

1

1

1

1

1

2--PERMANENT PASTURE LAND

1

0

1

1

1

1

3--GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

1

1

1

1

2

1

4--TOTAL PAVED ROAD AND RAILROAD LENGTH

1

1

1

1

1

1

5--AGRICULTURAL TRADE BALANCE

1

2

2

2

2

2

6--BOVINE MEAT TRADE BALANCE

2

2

2

2

1

2

7--EXTERNAL DEBT

1

1

1

1

1

1

8--ROUNDWOOD PRODUCTION

1

1

1

1

1

1

9--FUELWOOD AND CHARCOAL PRODUCTION

1

1

1

1

1

1

10--INDUSTRIAL ROUNDWOOD PRODUCTION

2

1

2

2

2

2

11--TOTAL POPULATION

1

1

1

1

1

1

LOCAL SIMPLE MAJORITY PERCEPTIONS

LOCAL OFFICIALS

FACTORS CONSIDERED DIRECT AGENTS OF DEFORESTATION

BELIZE

RICA

EL SALVADOR

GUETEMALA

DURAS

RAGUA

MA

TRAL AMERICA

1-- EXPANSION OF THE AGRICULTURAL FRONTIER

VI

VI

VI

VI

VI

VI

2--EXPANSION OF CATTLE RANCHING FRONTIER

VI

I

VI

I

VI

VI

3--LEVELS OF NATIONAL INCOME

NI

VI

I

I

VI

I

4--CONSTRUCTION OF ROADS AND RAILROAD TRACKS

NI

NI

NI

NI

NI

NI

5--EXPORTS OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS

I

I

NI

NI

NI

NI

6--EXPORTS OF LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS

NI

NI

NI

NI

NI

NI

7--EXTERNAL DEBT

NI

NI

NI

NI

I

NI

8--PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION OF ROUNDWOOD

VI

I

I

I

I

VI

9--PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION OF FUELWOOD AND CHARCOAL

NI

VI

VI

VI

VI

VI

10--PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION OF INDUSTRIAL ROUNDWOOD

I

I

I

I

I

I

11--POPULATION LEVELS

I

VI

I

I

I

I

THEORY-PRACTICE-LOCAL SIMPLE MAJORITY PERCEPTION TYPOLOGIES

TRICTHOTOMY FORM 

FACTORS CONSIDERED DIRECT AGENTS OF DEFORESTATION

BELIZE

RICA

EL SALVADOR

GUETEMALA

DURAS

RAGUA

MA

TRAL AMERICA

1-- ARABLE AND PERMANENT CROPLAND

SVI1

SVI1

SVI1

SVI1

SVI1

SVI1

2--PERMANENT PASTURE LAND

SVI1

SI0

SVI1

SI1

SVI1

SVI1

3--GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

SNI1

SVI1

SI1

SI1

SVI2

SI1

4--TOTAL PAVED ROAD AND RAILROAD LENGTH

SNI1

SNI1

SNI1

SNI1

SNI1

SNI1

5--AGRICULTURAL TRADE BALANCE

SI1

SI2

SNI2

SNI2

SNI2

SNI2

6--BOVINE MEAT TRADE BALANCE

SNI2

SNI2

SNI2

SNI2

SNI1

SNI2

7--EXTERNAL DEBT

SNI1

SNI1

SNI1

SNI1

SI1

SNI1

8--ROUNDWOOD PRODUCTION

SVI1

SI1

SI1

SI1

SI1

SVI1

9--FUELWOOD AND CHARCOAL PRODUCTION

SNI1

SVI1

SVI1

SVI1

SVI1

SVI1

10--INDUSTRIAL ROUNDWOOD PRODUCTION

SI2

SI1

SI2

SI2

SI2

SI2

11--TOTAL POPULATION

SI1

SVI1

SI1

SI1

SI1

SI1